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BGS Global Geomagnetic Activity Forecast

Forecast period
(noon-to-noon GMT) 		Forecast Global Activity level
Average Max
6 NOV-7 NOV QUIET STORM G1
7 NOV-8 NOV QUIET ACTIVE
8 NOV-9 NOV QUIET ACTIVE

For more information about the forecast and activity categories see
geomag.bgs.ac.uk/education/activitylevels.html

Activity during last 24 hours

Global   Local (UK)
Date Average Max At time (UTC) Average Max At time (UTC)
5 NOV-6 NOV QUIET QUIET 12:00-15:00 QUIET ACTIVE 12:00-15:00
QUIET 00:00-03:00 QUIET 00:00-03:00

Additional Comments

A CME that lifted from the Sun on the 4th is expected to glance the Earth during the first period. This combined with solar wind speeds remaining at above ambient levels due to coronal hole influence may lead to enhanced geomagnetic conditions with isolated STORM G1 spells possible.
Further coronal hole influence will likely remain into the second and third period. An M class flare occurred this morning but due to a lack of imagery further analysis is needed to check if there is an associated CME with an Earth directed component.
Time of forecast: 06 Nov 2024
© UKRI